Investing 102

[GregWeld]

Originally Posted by captainofiron

I have a pretty significant chunk of my portfolio in Lowes, and today they missed so they are down ~$5

I have a reasonable chunk of cash sitting (from being an idiot and not using the dividends reinvestment option), but I am really nervous about putting money into them on a dip, given that it has kicked me down hard when I did this the past couple years with COP and STX

Any thoughts?

The very best time to buy is when the market is DOWN not UP.


Having said that --- even when you have a bucket of money --- it's hard to follow this simple advice. I get it.


Whenever you get nervous..... GO TO THE CHARTS!!! Stretch 'em out ---- DO YOU NOT SEE THAT THEY'RE LOWER ON THE LEFT SIDE AND HIGHER ON THE RIGHT??


Now -- be a smart guy and pull up a comparo chart of Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW).... Personally I've always liked HD better. Lowe's - to me - is too "Chinese imports for the housewife" kind of a store.


How many years do you have before you actually retire --- and then --- wait for it --- how many years do you plan to live after retirement?? My guess is - no matter how many dips the market takes - it'll be higher in the long run.

[captainofiron]

Originally Posted by GregWeld

The very best time to buy is when the market is DOWN not UP.


Having said that --- even when you have a bucket of money --- it's hard to follow this simple advice. I get it.


Whenever you get nervous..... GO TO THE CHARTS!!! Stretch 'em out ---- DO YOU NOT SEE THAT THEY'RE LOWER ON THE LEFT SIDE AND HIGHER ON THE RIGHT??


Now -- be a smart guy and pull up a comparo chart of Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW).... Personally I've always liked HD better. Lowe's - to me - is too "Chinese imports for the housewife" kind of a store.


How many years do you have before you actually retire --- and then --- wait for it --- how many years do you plan to live after retirement?? My guess is - no matter how many dips the market takes - it'll be higher in the long run.

Greg you are the man.

I bought lowes at the time because it was worth half of what HD was, and it has really paid off. I have shopped at both, and I understand exactly what you say about contractor style of Home Depot vs housewife faux-renovation style of Lowes, BUT both are always packed everytime I go into one, PLUS the Lowes is easier to get to for me, haha

Im gonna take a look at the comparison, last time I looked they were pretty neck and neck for the past few years.

[GregWeld]

Originally Posted by captainofiron

Greg you are the man.

I bought lowes at the time because it was worth half of what HD was, and it has really paid off. I have shopped at both, and I understand exactly what you say about contractor style of Home Depot vs housewife faux-renovation style of Lowes, BUT both are always packed everytime I go into one, PLUS the Lowes is easier to get to for me, haha

Im gonna take a look at the comparison, last time I looked they were pretty neck and neck for the past few years.

I agree they are so similar that they're hard to differentiate.... like Verizon and AT&T... just close your eyes and toss a dart. LOL



And like I've always said ---- buy the one YOU like! And where YOU shop! That way you'll see any changes with your own eyes.

[WSSix]

Or, do like I did when I couldn't decide which industry giant to choose from and buy both. That's why I own both T and VZ. They both are doing well for me. I'm probably going to buy Nike and UnderArmor soon, too, because yet again, I can't decide which one to choose.

[captainofiron]

Originally Posted by WSSix

Or, do like I did when I couldn't decide which industry giant to choose from and buy both. That's why I own both T and VZ. They both are doing well for me. I'm probably going to buy Nike and UnderArmor soon, too, because yet again, I can't decide which one to choose.

Thats not a bad idea.

speaking of Nike and Underarmor, I am really really REALLY kicking myself for not investing in Adidas at the end of 2014.

it was in the mid 30s and is now sitting at mid 70s

I ended up buying KO instead...

oh well, I keep telling myself its long term, Im not trading WOOSAH

[GregWeld]

It will be interesting to have you all be "on board" here long enough -- that you will be witnessing "MATERIAL CHANGE" to McDonalds (MCD) with yet another U.S. CEO change at year end.


MCD was horrible -- they did a corporate CEO change and BAM! The stock, sales, etc went up and all was good...

The U.S. CEO is retiring and we'll have to see what happens on his watch.

My take?? I never like to stand in a tunnel when I see a headlight... I prefer to step aside - watch whatever - and then re-asses. Particularly if I have a nice gain in the name. Nobody ever goes broke taking a profit..... is my theory there. It's had a nice run.... so does the new guy make it run even more? Who knows? And that's why I prefer to stand aside.

[So Cal Camaro]

Originally Posted by GregWeld

It will be interesting to have you all be "on board" here long enough -- that you will be witnessing "MATERIAL CHANGE" to McDonalds (MCD) with yet another U.S. CEO change at year end.


MCD was horrible -- they did a corporate CEO change and BAM! The stock, sales, etc went up and all was good...

The U.S. CEO is retiring and we'll have to see what happens on his watch.

My take?? I never like to stand in a tunnel when I see a headlight... I prefer to step aside - watch whatever - and then re-asses. Particularly if I have a nice gain in the name. Nobody ever goes broke taking a profit..... is my theory there. It's had a nice run.... so does the new guy make it run even more? Who knows? And that's why I prefer to stand aside.

Interesting, when you take profits its noble, to step aside and wait to see what happens, but when I propose essentially the same thing you are stating here, I'm trying to time the market...please explain?

[GregWeld]

Originally Posted by WSSix

Or, do like I did when I couldn't decide which industry giant to choose from and buy both. That's why I own both T and VZ. They both are doing well for me. I'm probably going to buy Nike and UnderArmor soon, too, because yet again, I can't decide which one to choose.

THere's nothing wrong with doing that at all.... as long as you are well diversified!

I often will hold two or more of the same type company - such as T and VZ - or JNK and HYG - or F and GM... or MO and PM.